Saturday 11 July 2009

Irish Oaks 12th July 2009

3.40 CURRAGH - MIDDAY

I will be laying Midday because although she finished runner up to Sariska in the English Oaks at Epsom, I think Sariska has more improvement to come and I cannot see how Midday can beat the favourite no matter what the ground conditions, which are likely to be soft. My main reason for opposing Midday is that her sire Oasis Dream was a sprinter and has not yet sired a Group 1 middle distance winner and I am confident this will still be the case after tomorrow's race. Midday is the forecast second favourite at around 3/1.

The likeliest winner is the favourite and Oaks heroine Sariska although there is an unexposed Irish challenger in the shape of John Oxx's Beauty O'Gwaun.

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