1.45 AINTREE - PALYPSO DE CREEK
Palypso De Creek is a confident lay in the Becher Chase at Aintree because his profile does not fit my trends for this race. Firstly he is a six year old and no six year old has won this race. Winners are usually aged between 8 to 11 years old. Secondly past winners have usually run in a National or have previous experience of the National fences and finally past winners have won a chase over 3 miles. Therefore the likeliest winner will come from the following shortlist: Hello Bud (won Scottish National), Irish Raptor (won Topham and 6th Becher) and Idle Talk (4th Scottish National and 4th Becher).
Palypso De Creek has not even run over fences in England and is the forecast second favourite at 9/2 but we have three or four strong candidates on our side.
Saturday 21 November 2009
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