Monday 17 August 2009

Juddmonte International Stakes 18th August 2009

3.25 YORK - MASTERCRAFTSMAN

This is effectively a match between the brilliant Guineas, Derby and Eclipse winner Sea The Stars and the Irish Guineas and St James Palace winner Mastercraftsman and it is difficult to envisage how Mastercraftsman can beat the odds on favourite no matter how the race is run with Aidan O'Brien employing two pacemakers. Sea The Stars has already beaten Mastercraftsman in the Guineas and on official ratings has 10lbs in hand of his rival.

From a trends point of view winners of this race have run over the distance of 1m2f whereas Mastercraftsman has only run over a mile, another big negative to his chances. He is the 5/2 second favourite but I can only see one winner and Sea The Stars will maintain his unbeaten record this season.

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